Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.028905 0.031038 0.033264 0.035762 0.038491 0.041388 0.044698
2025-06-08 0.024951 0.027917 0.031170 0.035014 0.039450 0.044428 0.050461
2025-06-15 0.022453 0.025903 0.029832 0.034662 0.040476 0.047294 0.055959
2025-06-22 0.020605 0.024360 0.028766 0.034359 0.041331 0.049812 0.061034
2025-06-29 0.018973 0.022888 0.027597 0.033737 0.041619 0.051516 0.065074
2025-07-06 0.018067 0.022202 0.027292 0.034097 0.043079 0.054699 0.071161
2025-07-13 0.017140 0.021407 0.026765 0.034090 0.044000 0.057173 0.076412
2025-07-20 0.016491 0.020911 0.026569 0.034467 0.045408 0.060338 0.082800
2025-07-27 0.015694 0.020166 0.025987 0.034264 0.045972 0.062327 0.087606
2025-08-03 0.014973 0.019475 0.025427 0.034036 0.046458 0.064194 0.092322
2025-08-10 0.014328 0.018850 0.024913 0.033827 0.046931 0.066040 0.097100
2025-08-17 0.013774 0.018318 0.024495 0.033718 0.047522 0.068065 0.102274
2025-08-24 0.013132 0.017639 0.023844 0.033243 0.047547 0.069248 0.106220
2025-08-31 0.012498 0.016943 0.023134 0.032639 0.047334 0.070034 0.109556
2025-09-07 0.012001 0.016419 0.022646 0.032334 0.047553 0.071496 0.114118
2025-09-14 0.011549 0.015940 0.022197 0.032060 0.047791 0.072986 0.118821
2025-09-21 0.011045 0.015363 0.021579 0.031489 0.047514 0.073593 0.121983
2025-09-28 0.010819 0.015185 0.021544 0.031821 0.048709 0.076723 0.129942
2025-10-05 0.010518 0.014883 0.021306 0.031814 0.049338 0.078913 0.136328
2025-10-12 0.010324 0.014733 0.021292 0.032161 0.050570 0.082219 0.145103
2025-10-19 0.010010 0.014388 0.020961 0.031974 0.050874 0.083887 0.150817
2025-10-26 0.009709 0.014051 0.020628 0.031764 0.051123 0.085462 0.156461
2025-11-02 0.009428 0.013735 0.020316 0.031572 0.051387 0.087071 0.162300